{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Probably Overthinking It","provider_url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog","author_name":"AllenDowney","author_url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/author\/allendowney_6dbrc4\/","title":"The Long Tail of Disaster - Probably Overthinking It","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"QeMdmQ85kP\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/10\/03\/the-long-tail-of-disaster\/\">The Long Tail of Disaster<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/10\/03\/the-long-tail-of-disaster\/embed\/#?secret=QeMdmQ85kP\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;The Long Tail of Disaster&#8221; &#8212; Probably Overthinking It\" data-secret=\"QeMdmQ85kP\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">\n\/* <![CDATA[ *\/\n\/*! This file is auto-generated *\/\n!function(d,l){\"use strict\";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&\"undefined\"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),c=new RegExp(\"^https?:$\",\"i\"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display=\"none\";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):\"link\"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute(\"src\")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener(\"message\",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",function(){for(var e,t,s=l.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),r=0;r<s.length;r++)(t=(e=s[r]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))||(t=Math.random().toString(36).substring(2,12),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t)),e.contentWindow.postMessage({message:\"ready\",secret:t},\"*\")},!1)))}(window,document);\n\/\/# sourceURL=https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-includes\/js\/wp-embed.min.js\n\/* ]]> *\/\n<\/script>\n","description":"In honor of NASA&#8217;s successful DART mission, here&#8217;s a relevant excerpt from my forthcoming book, Probably Overthinking It. On March 11, 2022, an astronomer near Budapest, Hungary detected a new asteroid, now named 2022 EB5, on a collision course with Earth. Less than two hours later, it exploded in the atmosphere near Greenland. Fortunately, no large fragments reached the surface, and they caused no damage. We have not always been so lucky. In 1908, a much larger asteroid entered the... Read More Read More","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/longtail_183_0-1024x467.png"}