{"version":"1.0","provider_name":"Probably Overthinking It","provider_url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog","author_name":"AllenDowney","author_url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/author\/allendowney_6dbrc4\/","title":"Planning for your midlife crisis - Probably Overthinking It","type":"rich","width":600,"height":338,"html":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"MBOiLlqddz\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2026\/05\/01\/planning-for-your-midlife-crisis\/\">Planning for your midlife crisis<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2026\/05\/01\/planning-for-your-midlife-crisis\/embed\/#?secret=MBOiLlqddz\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" title=\"&#8220;Planning for your midlife crisis&#8221; &#8212; Probably Overthinking It\" data-secret=\"MBOiLlqddz\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script>\n\/*! This file is auto-generated *\/\n!function(d,l){\"use strict\";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&\"undefined\"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),c=new RegExp(\"^https?:$\",\"i\"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display=\"none\";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):\"link\"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute(\"src\")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener(\"message\",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",function(){for(var e,t,s=l.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),r=0;r<s.length;r++)(t=(e=s[r]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))||(t=Math.random().toString(36).substring(2,12),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t)),e.contentWindow.postMessage({message:\"ready\",secret:t},\"*\")},!1)))}(window,document);\n\/\/# sourceURL=https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-includes\/js\/wp-embed.min.js\n<\/script>\n","description":"Yesterday I presented a talk at ODSC East 2026, called &#8220;Counterfactual Analysis with Bayesian Models: What Drives the Life Expectancy Gap?&#8221; Here&#8217;s the abstract Across nearly every country in the world, women live longer than men\u2014but the size of this gap varies from about two years in some countries to more than twelve in others. What explains these differences, and how much of the gap can be closed? In this talk, I present a practical approach to counterfactual analysis using... Read More Read More","thumbnail_url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/a55e9cbde25b36d9c42e2ede2a78a827460d537f230b5cc4e7dfcb519a44bbc6.png","thumbnail_width":438,"thumbnail_height":250}