{"id":1027,"date":"2023-09-19T14:19:34","date_gmt":"2023-09-19T14:19:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?p=1027"},"modified":"2026-10-11T00:09:35","modified_gmt":"2026-10-11T00:09:35","slug":"the-overton-paradox-in-three-graphs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/09\/19\/the-overton-paradox-in-three-graphs\/","title":{"rendered":"The Overton Paradox in Three Graphs"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Older people are more likely to say they are conservative.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"912\" height=\"605\" src=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1028\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton1.png 912w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton1-300x199.png 300w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton1-768x509.png 768w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton1-407x270.png 407w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 912px) 100vw, 912px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And older people believe more conservative things.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"885\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton4.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1029\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton4.png 885w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton4-300x232.png 300w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton4-768x593.png 768w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton4-350x270.png 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 885px) 100vw, 885px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But if you group people by decade of birth, most groups get more liberal as they get older.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"872\" height=\"649\" src=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1030\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5.png 872w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5-300x223.png 300w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5-768x572.png 768w, https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5-363x270.png 363w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 872px) 100vw, 872px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So if people get more liberal, on average, why are they more likely to <em>say<\/em> they are conservative?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now there are three ways to find out!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Today <a href=\"https:\/\/brilliant.org\/lesson\/the-overton-paradox\/\">Brilliant launched an interactive article explaining the Overton Paraodox<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Also today, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.superdatascience.com\/podcast\/make-better-decisions-with-data-with-dr-allen-downey\">SuperDataScience Podcast published a conversation about <em>Probably Overthinking It<\/em><\/a>, including a discussion of the Overton Paradox. You can also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=XahCbxan434\">watch the video on YouTube<\/a>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>And I gave <a href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/11\/09\/chasing-the-overton-window\/\">a talk about it at PyData NYC 2022, which you can watch here<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since some people have asked, I should say that &#8220;Overton Paradox&#8221; is the name I am giving this phenomenon. It&#8217;s named after the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Overton_window\">Overton window<\/a>, for reasons that will be clear if you read my explanation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>This topic is part of my book in progress, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/ywcn?from=blog-note\">You Would Choose Now<\/a>, which uses decades of survey data to track changing attitudes in the United States. The early access edition is available now.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Older people are more likely to say they are conservative. And older people believe more conservative things. But if you group people by decade of birth, most groups get more liberal as they get older. So if people get more liberal, on average, why are they more likely to say they are conservative? Now there are three ways to find out! Since some people have asked, I should say that &#8220;Overton Paradox&#8221; is the name I am giving this phenomenon&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"><a class=\"btn btn-default\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/09\/19\/the-overton-paradox-in-three-graphs\/\"> Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">  Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1027","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Overton Paradox in Three Graphs - Probably Overthinking It<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/09\/19\/the-overton-paradox-in-three-graphs\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Overton Paradox in Three Graphs - Probably Overthinking It\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Older people are more likely to say they are conservative. 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