{"id":1200,"date":"2024-01-28T16:24:43","date_gmt":"2024-01-28T16:24:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?p=1200"},"modified":"2024-01-28T18:31:15","modified_gmt":"2024-01-28T18:31:15","slug":"is-the-ideology-gap-growing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2024\/01\/28\/is-the-ideology-gap-growing\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Ideology Gap Growing?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

This tweet<\/a> from John Burn-Murdoch links to an article in the Financial Times (FT), \u201cA new global gender divide is emerging\u201d<\/a>, which includes this figure:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The article claims:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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In the US, Gallup data shows that after decades where the sexes were each spread roughly equally across liberal and conservative world views, women aged 18 to 30 are now 30 percentage points more liberal than their male contemporaries. That gap took just six years to open up.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

The figure says it is based on General Social Survey data and the text says it\u2019s based on Gallup data, so I\u2019m not sure which it is. UPDATE: In this tweet<\/a> Burn-Murdoch explains that the figure shows Gallup data, backfilled with GSS data from before the Gallup series began.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And I don\u2019t know what it means that \u201cAll figures are adjusted for time trend in the overall population\u201d. UPDATE: In this tweet<\/a>, Burn-Murdoch explains that the adjustment mentioned in the figure is to subtract off the overall trend. In the notebook for this article<\/a>, I apply the same adjustment, but it does not change my conclusions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Anyway, since I used GSS data in several places in Probably Overthinking It<\/em><\/a>, this analysis did not sound right to me. So I tried to replicate the analysis with GSS data. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

I conclude:<\/p>\n\n\n\n