{"id":1455,"date":"2024-12-11T19:04:28","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T19:04:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?p=1455"},"modified":"2025-01-03T16:55:11","modified_gmt":"2025-01-03T16:55:11","slug":"young-americans-are-marrying-later-or-never","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2024\/12\/11\/young-americans-are-marrying-later-or-never\/","title":{"rendered":"Young Americans are Marrying Later or Never"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

I’ve written before about changes in marriage patterns in the U.S., and it’s one of the examples in Chapter 13<\/a> of the new third edition of Think Stats<\/em>. My analysis uses data from the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG). Today they released the most recent data<\/a>, from surveys conducted in 2022 and 2023. So here are the results, updated with the newest data:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The patterns are consistent with what we’ve see in previous iterations — each successive cohort marries later than the previous one, and it looks like an increasing percentage of them will remain unmarried.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UPDATE: Here’s the same analysis for male respondents:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The pattern is similar — compared to previous generations, very few young men are getting married.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Data: National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). (2024). 2022\u20132023 National Survey of Family Growth Public Use Data and Documentation. Hyattsville, MD: CDC National Center for Health Statistics. Retrieved from NSFG 2022\u20132023 Public Use Data Files<\/a>, December 11, 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

My analysis is in this Jupyter notebook<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I’ve written before about changes in marriage patterns in the U.S., and it’s one of the examples in Chapter 13 of the new third edition of Think Stats. My analysis uses data from the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG). Today they released the most recent data, from surveys conducted in 2022 and 2023. So here are the results, updated with the newest data: The patterns are consistent with what we’ve see in previous iterations — each successive cohort marries…<\/p>\n

Read More Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1455","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nYoung Americans are Marrying Later or Never - Probably Overthinking It<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2024\/12\/11\/young-americans-are-marrying-later-or-never\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Young Americans are Marrying Later or Never - Probably Overthinking It\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I’ve written before about changes in marriage patterns in the U.S., and it’s one of the examples in Chapter 13 of the new third edition of Think Stats. My analysis uses data from the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG). Today they released the most recent data, from surveys conducted in 2022 and 2023. So here are the results, updated with the newest data: The patterns are consistent with what we’ve see in previous iterations — each successive cohort marries... 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Both.","author":"AllenDowney","date":"February 21, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week I wrote about marriage patterns for women in the U.S. Now let's see what's happening with men. Again, I'm working with data from the National Survey of Family Growth, which surveyed 29,192 men in the U.S. between 2002 and 2017. I used Kaplan\u2013Meier estimation to compute \"survival\" curves\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"marriage\"","block_context":{"text":"marriage","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/marriage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/marriage8.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/marriage8.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/marriage8.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/marriage8.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/marriage8.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/marriage8.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1514,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2025\/03\/19\/young-adults-are-having-the-children-they-want-but-they-want-fewer\/","url_meta":{"origin":1455,"position":1},"title":"Young Adults Want Fewer Children","author":"AllenDowney","date":"March 19, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"The most recent data from the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG) provides a first look at people born in the 2000s as young adults and an updated view of people born in the 1990s at the peak of their child-bearing years. Compared to previous generations at the same ages,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/nsfg_intent07-1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/nsfg_intent07-1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/nsfg_intent07-1.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/nsfg_intent07-1.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":389,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2020\/01\/06\/generational-changes-in-religious-belief-and-public-policy\/","url_meta":{"origin":1455,"position":2},"title":"Generational changes in religious belief and public policy","author":"AllenDowney","date":"January 6, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"This is the second in a series of articles where I use data from the General Social Survey (GSS) to explore Differences in beliefs and attitudes between Christians and people with no religious affiliation (\"Nones\"),Generational differences between younger and older Christians, andGenerational differences between younger and older Nones. In the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"age period cohort analysis\"","block_context":{"text":"age period cohort analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/age-period-cohort-analysis\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":498,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2020\/10\/21\/millennials-are-not-getting-married\/","url_meta":{"origin":1455,"position":3},"title":"Millennials are not getting married","author":"AllenDowney","date":"October 21, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"In 2015 I wrote a paper called \"Will Millennials Ever Get Married?\" where I used data from the National Survey of Family Growth (NSFG) to estimate the age at first marriage for women in the U.S, broken down by decade of birth. \u00a0 I found that women born in the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"marriage\"","block_context":{"text":"marriage","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/marriage\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/marriage4-3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/marriage4-3.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/marriage4-3.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/marriage4-3.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/marriage4-3.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/10\/marriage4-3.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1233,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2024\/02\/18\/the-gender-gap-in-political-beliefs-is-small\/","url_meta":{"origin":1455,"position":4},"title":"The Gender Gap in Political Beliefs Is Small","author":"AllenDowney","date":"February 18, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"In previous articles (here, here, and here) I've looked at evidence of a gender gap in political alignment (liberal or conservative), party affiliation (Democrat or Republican), and policy preferences. Using data from the GSS, I found that women are more likely to say they are liberal, and more likely to\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/belief_gap3-1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/belief_gap3-1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/belief_gap3-1.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/belief_gap3-1.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/belief_gap3-1.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/belief_gap3-1.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1766,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2026\/04\/03\/trust-and-well-being\/","url_meta":{"origin":1455,"position":5},"title":"Trust and Well-Being","author":"AllenDowney","date":"April 3, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"In a previous article, I claimed that Young adults are not very happy. Now the World Happiness Report 2026 has confirmed that young people in North America and Western Europe are less happy than they were fifteen years ago, and less happy than previous generations. In this article, we\u2019ll look\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"age period cohort analysis\"","block_context":{"text":"age period cohort analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/age-period-cohort-analysis\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cohort_standardized_-24a4cd718ef72385d57fbc3eb0dbc47d.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cohort_standardized_-24a4cd718ef72385d57fbc3eb0dbc47d.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cohort_standardized_-24a4cd718ef72385d57fbc3eb0dbc47d.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cohort_standardized_-24a4cd718ef72385d57fbc3eb0dbc47d.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/cohort_standardized_-24a4cd718ef72385d57fbc3eb0dbc47d.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1455","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1455"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1455\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1476,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1455\/revisions\/1476"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1455"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1455"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1455"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}