{"id":695,"date":"2022-04-24T17:29:06","date_gmt":"2022-04-24T17:29:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?p=695"},"modified":"2022-04-24T20:54:50","modified_gmt":"2022-04-24T20:54:50","slug":"probably-overthinking-the-book","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/04\/24\/probably-overthinking-the-book\/","title":{"rendered":"Probably Overthinking The Book"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I have not posted a new article for a few months, and I am now happy to announce the reason: I am working on a book! The working title is, of all things, <em>Probably Overthinking It<\/em>. If things go according to plan, it will be published by the University of Chicago Press in early 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When I started, I thought it would be a collection of articles from this blog, but I ended up writing more new material than I expected. But it&#8217;s going well; out of 12 chapters, I have a solid draft of 10 and a pretty good idea what will go in the other two.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the next few months, I will publish excerpts here, but for now I am working at maximum speed to get a complete first draft to the technical reviewers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, sorry for going quiet, but it will be worth the wait!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>If you would like to get infrequent email announcements about my book, please sign up below. I&#8217;ll let you know about milestones, promotions, and other news, but not more than one email per month. I will not share your email or use this list for any other purpose.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- Begin Mailchimp Signup Form -->\n<link href=\"\/\/cdn-images.mailchimp.com\/embedcode\/classic-10_7_dtp.css\" rel=\"stylesheet\" type=\"text\/css\">\n<style type=\"text\/css\">\n\t#mc_embed_signup{background:#fff; clear:left; font:14px Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;  width:600px;}\n\t\/* Add your own Mailchimp form style overrides in your site stylesheet or in this style block.\n\t   We recommend moving this block and the preceding CSS link to the HEAD of your HTML file. *\/\n<\/style>\n<div id=\"mc_embed_signup\">\n<form action=\"https:\/\/greenteapress.us14.list-manage.com\/subscribe\/post?u=bbc482a53c30426b826d801fb&amp;id=c82e707e6f\" method=\"post\" id=\"mc-embedded-subscribe-form\" name=\"mc-embedded-subscribe-form\" class=\"validate\" target=\"_blank\" novalidate>\n    <div id=\"mc_embed_signup_scroll\">\n\t<h2>Probably Overthinking It mailing list<\/h2>\n<div class=\"indicates-required\"><span class=\"asterisk\">*<\/span> indicates required<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-field-group\">\n\t<label for=\"mce-EMAIL\">Email Address  <span class=\"asterisk\">*<\/span>\n<\/label>\n\t<input type=\"email\" value=\"\" name=\"EMAIL\" class=\"required email\" id=\"mce-EMAIL\">\n<\/div>\n\t<div id=\"mce-responses\" class=\"clear foot\">\n\t\t<div class=\"response\" id=\"mce-error-response\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"response\" id=\"mce-success-response\" style=\"display:none\"><\/div>\n\t<\/div>    <!-- real people should not fill this in and expect good things - do not remove this or risk form bot signups-->\n    <div style=\"position: absolute; left: -5000px;\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><input type=\"text\" name=\"b_bbc482a53c30426b826d801fb_c82e707e6f\" tabindex=\"-1\" value=\"\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"optionalParent\">\n            <div class=\"clear foot\">\n                <input type=\"submit\" value=\"Subscribe\" name=\"subscribe\" id=\"mc-embedded-subscribe\" class=\"button\">\n                <p class=\"brandingLogo\"><a href=\"http:\/\/eepurl.com\/h0neI1\" title=\"Mailchimp - email marketing made easy and fun\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/eep.io\/mc-cdn-images\/template_images\/branding_logo_text_dark_dtp.svg\"><\/a><\/p>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<script type='text\/javascript' src='\/\/s3.amazonaws.com\/downloads.mailchimp.com\/js\/mc-validate.js'><\/script><script type='text\/javascript'>(function($) {window.fnames = new Array(); window.ftypes = new Array();fnames[0]='EMAIL';ftypes[0]='email';}(jQuery));var $mcj = jQuery.noConflict(true);<\/script>\n<!--End mc_embed_signup-->\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I have not posted a new article for a few months, and I am now happy to announce the reason: I am working on a book! The working title is, of all things, Probably Overthinking It. If things go according to plan, it will be published by the University of Chicago Press in early 2023. When I started, I thought it would be a collection of articles from this blog, but I ended up writing more new material than I&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"><a class=\"btn btn-default\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/04\/24\/probably-overthinking-the-book\/\"> Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">  Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Probably Overthinking The Book - Probably Overthinking It<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/04\/24\/probably-overthinking-the-book\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Probably Overthinking The Book - Probably Overthinking It\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"I have not posted a new article for a few months, and I am now happy to announce the reason: I am working on a book! The working title is, of all things, Probably Overthinking It. If things go according to plan, it will be published by the University of Chicago Press in early 2023. When I started, I thought it would be a collection of articles from this blog, but I ended up writing more new material than I... 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There's one per chapter, and they contain all of the code I used to do the analysis and generate the figures. So if you are curious about the\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/IMG_3114-scaled.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/IMG_3114-scaled.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/IMG_3114-scaled.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/IMG_3114-scaled.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/IMG_3114-scaled.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/IMG_3114-scaled.jpg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":308,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2019\/09\/19\/what-should-i-do\/","url_meta":{"origin":695,"position":4},"title":"What should I do?","author":"AllenDowney","date":"September 19, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"I am planning to be on sabbatical from June 2020 to August 2021, so I am thinking about how to spend it. Let me tell you what I can do, and you can tell me what I should do. Data Science I consider myself a data scientist, but that means\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":664,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2021\/08\/19\/covid-19-and-the-inspection-paradox\/","url_meta":{"origin":695,"position":5},"title":"COVID-19 and the Inspection Paradox","author":"AllenDowney","date":"August 19, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"The inspection paradox (aka length-biased sampling) is one of my favorite topics, and it turns out to be useful in the fight against COVID-19. During the pandemic, you have probably heard about about the effective reproduction number, R, which is the average number of people infected by each infected person.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"inspection paradox\"","block_context":{"text":"inspection paradox","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/inspection-paradox\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=695"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":713,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/695\/revisions\/713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=695"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=695"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=695"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}