{"id":765,"date":"2022-08-27T00:06:40","date_gmt":"2022-08-27T00:06:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?p=765"},"modified":"2022-08-27T00:06:40","modified_gmt":"2022-08-27T00:06:40","slug":"the-plurality-of-the-nones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/","title":{"rendered":"The Plurality of the Nones"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Some time in the next 10-15 years, the most common religion in the United States will be “none”. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Data from the General Social Survey<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

In this figure, the solid lines show estimated proportions of each religious affiliation from 1972 to 2021. Since the early 1990s, the proportion of Protestants has been declining and the proportion of people with no religious affiliation has been increasing. Catholicism has declined slightly and other religions have increased slightly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some of the data from 2021 is out of line with long-term trends. The pandemic affected data collection in several ways, so we should not make too much of these results for now<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The shaded areas show results from a model I used to fit past data and forecast future changes. The model predicts that “Nones” will overtake Protestants in the 2030s. The primary cause of these changes is generational replacement: as older people die, they are replaced by young people who are less likely to be religious. The following figure shows the proportion of each religious tradition as a function of year of birth:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Among people born around 1900, nearly all were Protestant or Catholic; few belonged to another religion or none. Among people born around 2000, the plurality have no religious affiliation; Protestants and Catholics are statistically tied for second.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In general, forecasting social phenomena is hard because things change. However, generational replacement is relatively predictable. To see how predictable, let’s see what would have happened if we used the same method to generate predictions 15 years ago:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Predictions made in 2006 (using only the data in the shaded area) would have been pretty good. We would have underestimated the growth of the Nones, but the predictions for the other groups would have been accurate. So we have reason to think 15-year predictions based on current data are reliable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you want details, the model is multinomial logistic regression using two features: year of birth and year of survey. It is based on the assumption that (1) the distribution of ages will not change substantially over the next 15 years, and (2) most people don’t change religious affiliation as adults, or if they do, the resulting net flow between affiliations is small.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Some time in the next 10-15 years, the most common religion in the United States will be “none”. In this figure, the solid lines show estimated proportions of each religious affiliation from 1972 to 2021. Since the early 1990s, the proportion of Protestants has been declining and the proportion of people with no religious affiliation has been increasing. Catholicism has declined slightly and other religions have increased slightly. Some of the data from 2021 is out of line with long-term…<\/p>\n

Read More Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Plurality of the Nones - Probably Overthinking It<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Plurality of the Nones - Probably Overthinking It\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Some time in the next 10-15 years, the most common religion in the United States will be “none”. In this figure, the solid lines show estimated proportions of each religious affiliation from 1972 to 2021. Since the early 1990s, the proportion of Protestants has been declining and the proportion of people with no religious affiliation has been increasing. Catholicism has declined slightly and other religions have increased slightly. Some of the data from 2021 is out of line with long-term... Read More Read More\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Probably Overthinking It\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-08-27T00:06:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021-1024x683.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"AllenDowney\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AllenDowney\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@AllenDowney\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"AllenDowney\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"AllenDowney\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/4e5bfb2e9af6c3446cb0031a7bf83207\"},\"headline\":\"The Plurality of the Nones\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-27T00:06:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/\"},\"wordCount\":365,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021-1024x683.png\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/\",\"name\":\"The Plurality of the Nones - Probably Overthinking It\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021-1024x683.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-08-27T00:06:40+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021.png\",\"width\":3600,\"height\":2400},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The Plurality of the Nones\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Probably Overthinking It\",\"description\":\"Data science, Bayesian Statistics, and other ideas\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Probably Overthinking It\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/probably_logo.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/probably_logo.png\",\"width\":714,\"height\":784,\"caption\":\"Probably Overthinking It\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/x.com\/AllenDowney\",\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/allendowney\/\",\"https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/allendowney.bsky.social\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/4e5bfb2e9af6c3446cb0031a7bf83207\",\"name\":\"AllenDowney\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/fb01b3a7f7190bea1bbf7f0852e686c2f8c03b099222df2ce4bc7926f15bcb43?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/fb01b3a7f7190bea1bbf7f0852e686c2f8c03b099222df2ce4bc7926f15bcb43?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"AllenDowney\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/author\/allendowney_6dbrc4\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"The Plurality of the Nones - Probably Overthinking It","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"The Plurality of the Nones - Probably Overthinking It","og_description":"Some time in the next 10-15 years, the most common religion in the United States will be “none”. In this figure, the solid lines show estimated proportions of each religious affiliation from 1972 to 2021. Since the early 1990s, the proportion of Protestants has been declining and the proportion of people with no religious affiliation has been increasing. Catholicism has declined slightly and other religions have increased slightly. Some of the data from 2021 is out of line with long-term... Read More Read More","og_url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/","og_site_name":"Probably Overthinking It","article_published_time":"2022-08-27T00:06:40+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021-1024x683.png","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"AllenDowney","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@AllenDowney","twitter_site":"@AllenDowney","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"AllenDowney","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/"},"author":{"name":"AllenDowney","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/4e5bfb2e9af6c3446cb0031a7bf83207"},"headline":"The Plurality of the Nones","datePublished":"2022-08-27T00:06:40+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/"},"wordCount":365,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021-1024x683.png","inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/","url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/","name":"The Plurality of the Nones - Probably Overthinking It","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021-1024x683.png","datePublished":"2022-08-27T00:06:40+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/affiliation_year_2021.png","width":3600,"height":2400},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/08\/27\/the-plurality-of-the-nones\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The Plurality of the Nones"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/","name":"Probably Overthinking It","description":"Data science, Bayesian Statistics, and other ideas","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#organization","name":"Probably Overthinking It","url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/probably_logo.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/probably_logo.png","width":714,"height":784,"caption":"Probably Overthinking It"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/x.com\/AllenDowney","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/allendowney\/","https:\/\/bsky.app\/profile\/allendowney.bsky.social"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/4e5bfb2e9af6c3446cb0031a7bf83207","name":"AllenDowney","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/fb01b3a7f7190bea1bbf7f0852e686c2f8c03b099222df2ce4bc7926f15bcb43?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/fb01b3a7f7190bea1bbf7f0852e686c2f8c03b099222df2ce4bc7926f15bcb43?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"AllenDowney"},"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/author\/allendowney_6dbrc4\/"}]}},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":519,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2021\/01\/24\/the-retreat-from-religion-continues\/","url_meta":{"origin":765,"position":0},"title":"The Retreat From Religion Continues","author":"AllenDowney","date":"January 24, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"A few years ago I wrote an article for the Scientific American blog where I used data from the General Social Survey (GSS) to describe changes in religious affiliation in the U.S. And in this longer article I described changes in religious belief as well, including belief in God, interpretation\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"gss\"","block_context":{"text":"gss","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/gss\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/affiliation_cohort.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/affiliation_cohort.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/affiliation_cohort.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/affiliation_cohort.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/affiliation_cohort.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/affiliation_cohort.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":985,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/07\/16\/homophobia-and-religion\/","url_meta":{"origin":765,"position":1},"title":"Homophobia and Religion","author":"AllenDowney","date":"July 16, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Two weeks ago I published an excerpt from Probably Overthinking It where I presented data from the General Social Survey showing a steep decrease in the percentage of people in the U.S. who think homosexuality is wrong. Last week I followed up to answer a question about data from Pew\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reliten2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reliten2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reliten2.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reliten2.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reliten2.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/reliten2.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":227,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2019\/06\/18\/backsliding-on-the-path-to-godlessness\/","url_meta":{"origin":765,"position":2},"title":"Backsliding on the path to godlessness","author":"AllenDowney","date":"June 18, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"In the last 30 years, college students have become much less religious. The fraction who say they have no religious affiliation tripled, from about 10% to 30%. And the fraction who say they have attended a religious service in the last year fell from 85% to 70%. I've been following\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"college\"","block_context":{"text":"college","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/college\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/heri18.1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/heri18.1.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/heri18.1.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/heri18.1.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/heri18.1.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/heri18.1.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]},{"id":521,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2021\/01\/18\/college-freshmen-are-more-godless-than-ever\/","url_meta":{"origin":765,"position":3},"title":"College Freshmen are More Godless Than Ever","author":"AllenDowney","date":"January 18, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"In the last 30 years, college students have become much less religious. The fraction who say they have no religious affiliation has more than tripled, from about 10% to 34%. And the fraction who say they have attended a religious service in the last year fell from more than 85%\u2026","rel":"","context":"In \"atheism\"","block_context":{"text":"atheism","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/tag\/atheism\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/heri.2.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1320,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2024\/06\/29\/have-the-nones-leveled-off\/","url_meta":{"origin":765,"position":4},"title":"Have the Nones Leveled Off?","author":"AllenDowney","date":"June 29, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Last month Ryan Burge published \"The Nones Have Hit a Ceiling\", using data from the 2023 Cooperative Election Study to show that the increase in the number of Americans with no religious affiliation has hit a plateau. Comparing the number of Atheists, Agnostics, and \"Nothing in Particular\" between 2020 and\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/heri.5.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/heri.5.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/heri.5.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1213,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2024\/02\/04\/political-alignment-affiliation-and-attitudes\/","url_meta":{"origin":765,"position":5},"title":"Political Alignment, Affiliation, and Attitudes","author":"AllenDowney","date":"February 4, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Is there a growing gender gap in the U.S? Alignment A recent article in the Financial Times suggests that among young people there is a growing gender gap in political alignment on a spectrum from liberal to conservative. In last week's post, I tried to replicate this result using data\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ideology_gap5.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ideology_gap5.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ideology_gap5.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ideology_gap5.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ideology_gap5.png?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/ideology_gap5.png?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=765"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":770,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/765\/revisions\/770"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}