{"id":820,"date":"2022-11-09T14:07:17","date_gmt":"2022-11-09T14:07:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/?p=820"},"modified":"2023-01-13T00:41:38","modified_gmt":"2023-01-13T00:41:38","slug":"chasing-the-overton-window","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/11\/09\/chasing-the-overton-window\/","title":{"rendered":"Chasing the Overton Window"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>On November 9 I presented a talk at PyData NYC with the title &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/nyc2022.pydata.org\/cfp\/talk\/YLLJ93\/\">Chasing the Overton Window<\/a>&#8220;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The video from this talk is now available:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/VpuWECpTxmM?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=en-US&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>This talk is based on a chapter of my forthcoming book called <em>Probably Overthinking It<\/em> that is about using evidence and reason to answer questions and make better decisions. If you would like to get an occasional update about the book, please <a href=\"http:\/\/eepurl.com\/h0nfbX\">join my mailing list<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/presentation\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vQiYBKF74K7meS7LNSuAzhtkAXKgI2ydHkD9-W6v_hEnj8DiyEtRfSK3CxFpHgfVC-PFRMcSAwXOTzS\/pub?start=false&amp;loop=false&amp;delayms=3000\">Here are the slides for the talk<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The results I reported are from 16 questions from the General Social Survey (GSS). If you would like to see the text of the questions, and answer them yourself, you can<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/forms.gle\/dnB8La4nAd2cujDn8\">Fill out this survey<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I summarized the results from the survey in <a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/presentation\/d\/e\/2PACX-1vRLyqq2f-8XU4T1-PpJnI1N6-fCWU1vn_zFivU4pFrbJsaA1U4ZuiWyIFwFvF9CfUfYZJlN3BSPN13n\/pub?start=false&amp;loop=false&amp;delayms=3000\">these slides<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you would like to read more about the topic of the talk, I&#8217;ve written two related blog posts:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/09\/05\/are-we-really-polarized\/\">Are we really polarized?<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/09\/11\/polarization-and-partisan-sorting\/\">Polarization and partisan sorting<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On November 9 I presented a talk at PyData NYC with the title &#8220;Chasing the Overton Window&#8220;. The video from this talk is now available: This talk is based on a chapter of my forthcoming book called Probably Overthinking It that is about using evidence and reason to answer questions and make better decisions. If you would like to get an occasional update about the book, please join my mailing list. Here are the slides for the talk. The results&#8230;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"><a class=\"btn btn-default\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/11\/09\/chasing-the-overton-window\/\"> Read More<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">  Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Chasing the Overton Window - Probably Overthinking It<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2022\/11\/09\/chasing-the-overton-window\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chasing the Overton Window - Probably Overthinking It\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On November 9 I presented a talk at PyData NYC with the title &#8220;Chasing the Overton Window&#8220;. 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If you missed it, the slides are here. When the video is available, I'll post it here. Abstract: Collision bias is the most treacherous error in statistics: it can be subtle, it is easy to induce it by\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1009,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/08\/27\/taming-black-swans\/","url_meta":{"origin":820,"position":1},"title":"Taming Black Swans","author":"AllenDowney","date":"August 27, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"At SciPy 2023 I presented a talk called \"Taming Black Swans: Long-tailed distributions in the natural and engineered world\". Here's the abstract: Long-tailed distributions are common in natural and engineered systems; as a result, we encounter extreme values more often than we would expect from a short-tailed distribution. If we\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/-rE3DfeZ_jE\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1027,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/09\/19\/the-overton-paradox-in-three-graphs\/","url_meta":{"origin":820,"position":2},"title":"The Overton Paradox in Three Graphs","author":"AllenDowney","date":"September 19, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Older people are more likely to say they are conservative. And older people believe more conservative things. But if you group people by decade of birth, most groups get more liberal as they get older. So if people get more liberal, on average, why are they more likely to say\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5.png?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5.png?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/09\/overton5.png?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":1357,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2024\/08\/23\/probably-the-book\/","url_meta":{"origin":820,"position":3},"title":"Probably the Book","author":"AllenDowney","date":"August 23, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"Last week I had the pleasure of presenting a keynote at posit::conf(2024). When the video is available, I will post it here [UPDATE here it is]. https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=YKMZIzYBgTk In the meantime, you can read the slides, if you don't mind spoilers. For people at the conference who don't know me, this\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/are_you_normal_windshield_wiper.gif?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/are_you_normal_windshield_wiper.gif?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/are_you_normal_windshield_wiper.gif?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/are_you_normal_windshield_wiper.gif?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":956,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/06\/10\/abstracts-and-keywords\/","url_meta":{"origin":820,"position":4},"title":"Abstracts and keywords","author":"AllenDowney","date":"June 10, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"As Probably Overthinking It approaches the finish line, there are just a few more tasks: I am working on the index and -- as I have recently learned -- I also have to write a 200-word abstract, a list of keywords for each chapter, and a 250-word abstract for the\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":929,"url":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/2023\/04\/24\/the-overton-paradox\/","url_meta":{"origin":820,"position":5},"title":"The Overton Paradox","author":"AllenDowney","date":"April 24, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"Chapter 12 of Probably Overthinking It is about three trends that form what I'm calling the Overton Paradox: Older people are more likely to say they are conservative. And older people hold more conservative views. But people don't become more conservative as they get older -- on average they get\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/overton4-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/overton4-1.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/overton4-1.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/overton4-1.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/overton4-1.jpg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/overton4-1.jpg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=820"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/820\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":834,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/820\/revisions\/834"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.allendowney.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}